Which voter groups give you the biggest payoff at the polls?

One of the most puzzling things about Nate Silver’s new method for evaluating Democratic presidential contenders – or as Libby Watson calls it, “the weird pentagon chart thing” – is his choice of “key” constituencies. Silver insists that his groups –

  • Party Loyalists

  • The Left

  • Millennials and Friends

  • Black Voters, and

  • Hispanic (with perhaps Asian) voters

– were…

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