New poll buries TikTok theory of ideology
TikTok Democrats look much more like Biden supporters than other Democrats.
New polling released by Democratic messaging shop Blueprint today suggests a TikTok user base that is relatively friendly to Joe Biden on the economy — contrary to recent media narratives that their unusual hostility is driving popular disapproval of Bidenomics.
On five distinct economic issues — inflation, Sociali Security / Medicare, spending / the deficit, regulating business, and an overall rating of the economy and jobs — TikTok Democrats awarded Joe Biden scores that resembled Biden supporters much more closely than other Democrats. Their scores also bore a closer resemblance than those of non-TikTok users to Biden’s demographic base of support.
Though Blueprint’s data doesn’t specify whether TikTok users approve of the Biden economy, it does ask them to rank them on a 5 point scale as more liberal or more conservative than they are. Based on those numbers we can give each demographic a Likert score that indicates their overall lean (and its intensity). And since Blueprint also asked breaks the responses down by multiple other categories, we can assign them Likert scores too. So when we plot this data regarding respondent views on inflation, this is what we get:
What this data tells us is when you ask TikTok users about Biden’s inflation politics, their answers are much closer to the typical Biden supporter than non-TikTok users. Their answers also resemble those of black voters, poor voters, and women. Democrats who do not use TikTok, meanwhile, are significantly more likely to say that Biden is “more liberal” than they are. Their views resemble those of white people, men, and people with six-figure incomes.
Now let’s plot how all five answers look:
Here you can see the exact same trend: TikTok Dems are more likely to rank Biden is “about the same”, “more conservative”, or “much more conservative” than non-TikTok Dems. On answer after answer their views more resemble those of the Biden coalition than non-TikTok Dems. One might argue that this is because TikTok users are more likely to disapprove of the Biden economy from the left, but the fact that people who approve of Biden are even less likely to say he is more conservative than they are would seem at odds with that interpretation, too.
Since this data can only be plausibly interpreted as evidence that TikTok isn’t turning people against the Biden economy, my guess is that Bidenomics fans will probably try to argue instead that it simply isn’t relevant. But that just returns us to the problem I pointed out a few weeks ago: no one has really provided any real evidence that it’s the media driving down Biden’s numbers. That claim remains completely unsubstantiated even if one thinks that the Biden economy is good and that no reasonable person would think otherwise.
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